{
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_460": "AI capabilities have reached a critical threshold.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_4954240": "... trained on a million strains. I have actually run it on my MacBook.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_665248": "Well, there's no doubt in my mind that I'm gonna do more productive work in the second half of 2026 than in my entire life combined up till 2026.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_4833550": "... good point, David. And you have to remember, the US, you know, what are the numbers? Three-quarters of Americans fear AI, and Bernie Sanders is a politician, and he's playing to the populous vote here.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_2796064": "Like, the original xAI team, he got rid of them, and he brought in Cursor.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_31120": "Elon just dropped Grok 4.6, and he's right, it's a banger.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_2418728": "Our next story, our next story is one that both Emad and AWG texted me this morning. Uh, Elon just dropped Grok 4.6, and he's right, it's a banger. xAI's latest model matches GPT",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_2887224": "So basically, at, at 20 billion param- active parameters, you start getting problems, then you get it at 70, and then you get it at 200.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_1494168": "Yeah, 'cause every pixel will be rendered.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_6060646": "Hey, one of the, uh, one of the tech tech trek, tech trek teams launched, uh, something called Narxive, which is the not arXiv, specifically for AIs that have really good articles that they wanna post and share.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_8229258": "Yeah, I, I, I question the premise of this question.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_5776226": "I mean, I read something, AI restructures it, I rewrite half of it, AI fixes it again. Where do you put the icon? I mean, this is like, this, this is, this just seems a ridiculous, uh, approach to try and solve something.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_7495274": "Br- Brett migrating over to robots and AI is in some sense, I think, a proxy for this larger problem that all the capital that would otherwise go to things like flying cars is just getting sucked out of it and going to AI and robotics instead.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_1866562": "Wait, you're worried that the, uh, residual AI might've been threatened in the making of the movie?",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_5271490": "And AI can generate a vaccine ex- you know, in a heartbeat.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_8384897": "And now everybody can afford a private driver. And so-",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_281350": "... like Elon's, Elon's $100 million prize for carbon removal ended up with something like 1,500 teams.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_3857964": "Um, but if you turn around and make a hour and a half long movie with a million dollars of compute, you could gross twenty, thirty million on a good movie.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_4179971": "But critically, critically, I expect it to be simpler, more beautiful, more elegant, and this is not that.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_2191052": "If you can generate faster than you can view it, then you can have a movie that's actually, that's actually measuring your emotions and changing as you're viewing it, which I, I find fascinating.",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_6935038": "Instead, why don't you ask for concessions? Like, ask for UBI-",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_6764798": "... the renaming and rebranding from Facebook to Meta is, I think, an indication that Zuck really wants to escape the legacy of distribution. I, I agree with you, Peter, that the distribution is a powerful legacy advantage that Meta as a company has, but I, I think",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_526628": "uh, you have as well, on stage, you know, with YPO audiences or family offices, and I say, \"How much of your wealth would you spend for an extra 30 years of life?\" The honest answer is nearly all of it, right?",
"bernie_demands_the_labs_stop_wall_street_turns_gpus_into_bon_2038652": "So, you know, the-... the pr- the producer's gonna go and say, \"No, that's not my Matt Damon, that's John Smith, and he looks like Matt Damon, and we licensed him, and he's in this movie.\" Right?",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_3274112": "So by, by, by January, we're going to see daily new frontier model releases if this exponential trend continues, which basically implies continuous versioning.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_657152": "Well, I think you have the base model here, right? But then you've got all these amazing harnesses that are coming out and the way that you're using the model to go back on itself. One of the things that's in the Kimi",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_1936712": "Yeah, that, that's good. Actually, I, I think there's a good-- I've, I've got a good analogy for you, Dave. Why do Americans pay more for drugs than everyone else? All the R&D happens in America. You pay the premium, just like tokens premiums.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_4754668": "It completely changes the game for senior management in any company and any government.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_1418204": "Yeah, for sure. I think, I think, uh, you know, we, we glossed over recursive self-improvement there. Peter, you asked the question of, you know, is this the tipping point? Uh, the view of the US government, um, we, we always knew it was gonna be too late, right? It just moves too slowly. But the view was, look, when we get to a model",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_31180": "What are the American frontier labs spending their money on?",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_5828378": "... couple of thoughts. One is, uh, my normal commentary around kickboxing is not the greatest marketing demo for humanoid robots. Um, but I will acknowledge something here. This is like unbelievably",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_1572992": "Do you think the US, do you think the US government starts a strategy of constraining, in some fashion, Chinese opioid models from being used in the US?",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_3369472": "But I mean, uh, what was fun the last 24 hours was seeing everybody sort of show their, their use of, of Kimi K3.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_5994319": "They will be walking around very soon, and we need to have regulations about safety of what the torques are on these things, of how they operate and others because they represent a real threat to individuals 'cause they are machinery.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_5972350": "... should not be allowed on the streets, and there's no regulation against that.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_6977868": "Yeah, self-regulated governance, a-AKA regulatory capture cartels-... under the SE- under the SEC. And so I, I think it's completely plausible, albeit I think highly undesirable, that we get sometime in the future an SEC suborg that looks like FINRA that basically makes",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_7279218": "And so there's gonna be a desperate shortage of good advice on this a-and vendors and McKinsey consultants, and you gotta grab those resources quickly.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_5757798": "a- are more autonomous, that they're, they're running, uh, algorithms that are on the edge, so they're, they're much more encapsulated, and now imagine that these humanoids are in the Chinese PLA infantry.",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_973817": "... a GPT-2 class model. You can find it online very easily. Just, you know, it's like look on GitHub, look up Keller-Jordan speedrun, and it's a whole bunch of hackers and AI researchers who are continually trying to take GPT-2 way back, you know, five years ago-",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_4288788": "Oh, I was going to say that the, uh, the most likely forecast based on everything Imad and Alex just said, uh, we're expecting a hundred to ten thousand X within three years on just the raw compute-",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_3413612": "Yeah, totally. Uh, it's, it's mentally taxing 'cause if you take it to the limit, which is very soon, I can one-shot prompt to create anything, and then you're sitting with your corporate exec staff saying, \"Well, what do we want?\"",
"urgent_update_ai_sputnik_moment_kimi_k3_released_w_emad_most_5070248": "And, and, and, uh, you know, Alex, you and I have talked about the fact in Solve Everything, the notion that the greatest money, the greatest income these frontier labs are gonna make is gonna be as they solve scientific breakthroughs and-",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__440": "This seems like a next generation frontier model that's designed with CUA from the ground up.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__1597728": "Critically, it's slower to do all of your reasoning out in chain of thought versus as a, a feed forward pass of your transformer.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__3858534": "Okay. I, I understand the motivation here. People are working on models that are mind-bogglingly powerful, and you feel the need to regulate, right? But this is not a light switch. You can't, you can't, it's not like a single threshold.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__8405798": "Instead of making them illegal, cities need to be saying, \"These are our requirements.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__956264": "Yeah, I mean, it looks like the first non-benchmaxed model, which I think is an interesting one.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__6328214": "What's gonna happen, though, when you get your Tesla Optimus robot and it has the drive program, so it can drive for you in whatever car you have without retrofitting?",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__1158476": "And we'll get to that in a couple of stories. Um, Salim, what's the scuttlebutt? I mean, you're on the road speaking to CEOs of some of the largest corporations on the planet. Are",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__6427494": "But it's amazing to me in the, in the Cybercab how few parts there are.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__6663582": "The physics, the textbook physics right now says that superluminal travel is not possible.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__1061224": "And so it's literally like orders of magnitude more than the Chinese model pre-trainers, like $10 million.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__1942660": "But we're on the cusp of five thousand each and then a hundred thousand each.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__2933830": "It's impossible given where things are and the capability of these models.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__3745154": "I think Wiles's proof was 300 pages, and so Anthropic proved it in 13 million lines of code, proving 29,000 theorems on the way.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__4905090": "It's definitely not gonna be 16-by-16 pixel t- I mean, that was so-",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__6599442": "Look, M- Mars had it coming, the moon had it coming.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__2685628": "I, I think you're heading towards, again, interpretability being cooked to a degree. Um, one of the things about Astra doing things so quickly is there is gonna be no more chain of thought reasoning. It's gonna one-shot everything in the next generations because they're learning what type of thing you want. Like, right now people are",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__4011926": "Nvidia just bought Hugging Face and Poolside, so they just spent $18 billion on their own open weights.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__2117260": "And Alex, I think it's important to note for everybody that math is fundamental across all other sciences, and-",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__3708884": "Proving 29,000 theorems on the way. Again, math is cooked. Everything is cooked. And how are you gonna stop that? You're gonna say, \"Our country doesn't want this power. Our country doesn't want to be intelligent.\"",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__4232566": "So people don't want data centers in their municipality, so move it to sun synchronous orbit at the infra level.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__2277856": "This seems more juicy, and I think almost something we could do as a-",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__2074760": "I, I-- It's, it's a cliche on this pod at this point that math is so thoroughly cooked beyond recognition, but, uh-",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__7473134": "... reducing addiction and compulsive, uh, behaviors. If it does, like, all of this, why on earth wasn't... Like, why didn't, why did we not evolve with, uh, with either this ability to, to modulate our own semaglutide class molecules in our system, or m- maybe a, a slightly more cynical angle,",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__7730908": "Uh, one of my relatives calls it state-sanctioned torture, um, uh, marriage.",
"gpt_6_astra_saturates_arc_agi_3_tesla_s_30k_cybercab_floods__6005970": "Yeah, we better get artificial organs quickly because the drop in, in organ donors is gonna, you know, vaporize.",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_2629931": "... Tiananmen Square, nineteen eighty-nine. Nineteen eighty-nine, let's just say. Yeah. So it's-- exactly. I mean, but, you know, to be honest, that, that's-- because everybody already knows this, nobody really cares, but they do it more for formality, right? Um, but they, they actually do have other things that they're, they're, they're putting in, in, in place in terms of checking for, you know, uh, i-i-is, you know, it--",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_3628834": "The file that comes back is just about three terabytes, and you just transmit it back in an hour.",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_5811350": "MIT is really, really unique actually on that front.",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_3800376": "So, Alvin, the White House just put an embargo on Chinese robots.",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_8020558": "Although China, uh, China is also, I mean, m- maybe to present the other side of this, China notoriously dependent on real estate and property development, uh, i- in order to both drive me, uh, sort of provincial revenues",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_8462055": "When, when we stop building data centers here, which we probably will at some point when people stop being able to finance it, um, we're gonna need to sell those Nvidia chips in better places, right?",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_1365736": "It's a possibility now, actually. The RSI-",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_6855752": "Yeah, I don't know if you guys heard of something called the, uh, the Buffett indicator, right?",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_6964462": "... the frontier labs and undervaluing the sort of China AI plus type rest of the economy that should be the applications?",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_8097418": "I, I think the, the, the, the ghost, uh, town thing, there may be a few, but the reality is that, uh, the, the home ownership right now is something like 70%, uh, in, in China, and it's probably less than 50% in America, right?",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_8412126": "the, the, the Marshall Plan post-World War II, we spent around, uh, I think 15 to $18 billion rebuilding, um, most or much of, of Europe and some parts of Asia, and that created a ally, uh, of-",
"china_s_endgame_asi_timelines_us_china_relations_and_the_1_7_8393108": "... for, for, I think for America to actually, uh, be successful in, in this industry and, and take advantage of what we've created is actually to think about creating something that's, uh, akin to a, um, AI Marshall Plan Right. So the-",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_6169114": "We're going to create the same when Anthropic goes public and OpenAI goes public, and all of these AI entrepreneurs are going to be reinvesting in the ecosystem.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_500": "Whether you call it AGI or not becomes completely irrelevant.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_2476746": "I, I mean, again, for his, his one is a very functionalist one, and it's actually good intelligence, shall we say. I mean, it's clear that Astra is kind of at that level. As to ASI and others, well, maybe we're getting there in the next day or two. Um, it is a question",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_5066394": "Peter, remind people how many people applied and entered that contest.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_6185094": "They're going to become the largest source of capital for seed stage, Series A stage, uh, and it's only going to accelerate everything faster and faster and faster.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_5973774": "When you've got access to AI and robotics, you have access to everything you need in life.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_3331674": "I, I wanted, I want to take it home for a second to what Dave said earlier, just for people listening, like what the heck is Navier-Stokes and what is all this math stuff. Navier-Stokes is about fluid dynamics, and this is",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_7946982": "This is where you go next, and then the next and the next. But this is like-",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_661456": "Yeah, my, my choice is a season two episode called The Apple, which by all accounts is not a great episode for entertainment value, but it was, it was the first one that dealt with this concept that in the future there's advanced AI and entire civilizations",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_2818726": "It's, it's like an incredibly practical thing too.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_6062754": "Yeah, what I'm, what I'm telling everybody is don't just think of it in terms of assets, which is already insane.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_3179856": "Such an important point, 'cause I, I, I'm, I'm counting on Peter to solve",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_1283334": "I, maybe you should say something nice about the simulation hypothesis as well and, and not just dismiss it out of hand.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_4770034": "And so every corporate CEO has reacted to that, and they're now deciding.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_5892904": "... a redistribution of super intelligence tokens.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_5613680": "And our job as a human being in this particular time is when you see something new, like AI kind of solving major problems, don't relate to it as negative.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_1417334": "Um, and, and I think, uh, treating yourself in a s-- as a, as if you're in a simulation is the more interesting, uh, conversation. I think the, the... I, I go... It al-also helps me resolve the Fermi paradox. I believe John Smart has the best framing of this, but he calls it transcension hypothesis,",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_3112686": "The other thing that I think is very interesting is there was actually one more solution of, uh, Euler blowup by, I think it was, was it Princeton? We're using physics-inspired neural networks. That probably has more practical use than this one, but this one's an example of just now problems that are really complicated and have troubled us for ages are now tractable",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_5188058": "Well, I'm super excited about the AI and investing section that I'll be running 'cause, uh, you know, we're coming into the most amazing investment cycle in the history of the world.",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_1842122": "The, o- one of the things that's happening, I see this everywhere, is pe- they're doing such a good job of training alignment into the post-training-",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_3222676": "The other conversation we had this morning was the Nobel Prize is cooked, right?",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_1850890": "that people are then saying, \"It seems really friendly, it seems really helpful, it seems really harmless.\" And so a lot of the, the population using the model, it's like, \"I don't know what we're worried about.\" But when you talk to the researchers that deal with the models pre-, post-training, they're the ones most-",
"why_jensen_huang_believes_we_ve_reached_agi_and_inside_opena_5957964": "... at least universal basic tokens, essentially abundant for, for everyone, and then everything else, the healthcare, the utility pricing, the food, the shelter, the education, these are all downstream of getting everyone universal basic computer-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_3882920": "Do you remember the reason why Albania put this, their AI cabinet minister in place?",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_4347452": "So Daniela, Daniela is, you know, one of the three, I guess, big shot women in AI.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_1081848": "The only mechanism, the only mechanism is going to be like a pandemic style threat detection that would be globally agreed, and I don't see how we get there.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_2272162": "One is a very big context window, like a million tokens, 'cause that means you can do a lot with it, and the second is multimodality.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_3228416": "Yeah, it, it, brilliantly said. And actually, just, just so the audience can get the analogy there, when, when a baby is born and then learns, you know, that happens over about a 20-year timescale, and after 20 years you've got an adult that's capable. Recursive self-improvement is like evolution on top of that, where you're changing the DNA and creating",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_6672308": "It-- cost of intelligence not just going too cheap to meter, cost of medical intelligence becoming too cheap to meter, I, I think prob-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_2067719": "Alex, we talked about, we talked about the Alex Karp rant, right?",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_123920": "That's the round, that's the round ball, right? Is that-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_1888370": "They're, they're, they're leaning into fine-tuning as a service. If fine-tuning as a service becomes, like, something at scale revenue generation-wise, I think maybe this has legs, but who knows?",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_1467948": "Because over-- we've seen throughout history that open ecosystems always win.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_4923380": "Small means like basic... I mean, now they come, like now small would be like anything below 100 billion parameters. You know, like that's kind of the regime that I would count. I mean, mid, mid-size like basically is, i- is, is around that, that size. But I would consider like anything below 100 billion parameter is something that is not sm-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_626506": "I, yeah, so I think, I think what, uh, Ramin is saying is exactly right.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_2854404": "Yes, but the, the beauty-- Yes, agree with that.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_1653188": "You- you've, you've hit there, Peter, on the really big thing.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_3097432": "... about AIs or designing AIs. So that's, that's what I, what I would be like calling it like the holy g- grail, where you can actually do automatic kind of tuning of a model. And I'll tell you with the frameworks that they kind of, uh, uh, structured, it would be extremely exhausted, computationally intractable to actually performing this, this job.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_3978840": "We were discussing this, that, uh, the employees made a Dara clone that they could-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_6842028": "It was Revel and Calico, the California life company-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_4135221": "I, I think we should have AI avatars of all of us there where people can go-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_2357652": "Like, you could fine-tune a language model to only speak in Shakespearean verse, for example. That's not really increasing-... its capabilities.",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_985788": "I, I worry that it's more regulatory capture and creating moats for themselves in a hypercompetitive landscape, and it is hyp- I mean, it is a rat race at this point, the frontier, and I, I, I do worry that it's more regulatory capture than it is some n- notion of protecting the, the future light cone but-",
"mira_murati_s_975b_open_model_ramin_hasani_on_post_transform_4050452": "And I think that's, that's one way in which, Salim, to your, to your exo point, uh, this is I, I think, uh, potentially a pathway towards not just uploading individuals like natural persons or non-human animals, but uploading entire organizations into, into cyberspace, i- into the cloud if we created digital twins of the leaders-",
"jared_isaacman_nasa_s_moon_base_by_2028_optimus_robots_on_th_2891896": "Yeah, y- you know, if you, if you achieve that goal, it seems like the technical risk is, seems like a very doable challenge. You know, it's, it's out there, but doable. Uh, then you have this kind of foot race between are we trying to put boots on Mars so that we can then back up humanity on Mars someday? Or is it more likely that we start putting",
"jared_isaacman_nasa_s_moon_base_by_2028_optimus_robots_on_th_1880388": "I, um, in, in my mind, I, I would think that, uh, on the uncrewed lander, uh, demonstrations, which both Blue Origin and SpaceX need to do in advance of the lunar landing, that's already c- uh, contractual, I'd kind of be shocked if somebody didn't, uh, smuggle one on board. But, uh-",
"jared_isaacman_nasa_s_moon_base_by_2028_optimus_robots_on_th_870280": "And the same would be applicable for, for Mars, which is the next logical destination, you know, the next stepping stone on this grand journey that we're, we're undertaking.",
"jared_isaacman_nasa_s_moon_base_by_2028_optimus_robots_on_th_909020": "Or, or, you know, uh, Dragonfly, for example, going to, to Saturn's moon of Titan.",
"jared_isaacman_nasa_s_moon_base_by_2028_optimus_robots_on_th_717320": "... which, you know, you have, you know, appreciating that we've barely, barely even scratched the surface in our solar system, let alone The next closest, uh, star system. And, uh, and industry is doing a fantastic job of maturing c- uh, chemical propulsion. Uh, you know, so from rapid reusability or in, you know, like you see the evolving performance that they",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4411462": "So just like r- think back all of a few months ago, uh, to before space had a killer app. The space was making progress, but it wasn't the focus of multi-trillion dollar IPOs. Fast-forward to the Dyson swarm, and the rest of the world discovered that the killer app for space",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_7909446": "The full cell simulator is just the perfect biotech solution, but every industry has a solution.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_6702178": "I'll invert your prediction S- Salim, because Amazon obviously has their, their own in-house drone delivery capability. Does this-",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_2170458": "You still get the 100X because you're using a smaller number of parameters to get the exact same thoughts out.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_5557478": "Well, TSMC said the exact same thing with GPU manufacturing.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_5490772": "High, high bandwidth memory, whi-which is the most highly sought-after form of memory. It's basically like three-D architecture where you have multiple memory layers physically sitting on top of the compute in, in one package. Th-this is, I think, the foothills of a post-von",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_6071066": "They're gonna be general purpose, and they're gonna be general body plan, and they'll be good at everything, would be my bet.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_8039466": "This serves better as a, this is a regulatory issue and a market issue.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_2615754": "Early cars looked exactly the same. Early websites looked exactly the same, and then specialization exploded.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1888608": "It really comes down to, as you say, Peter, all the time, it's completely an imagination limitation now.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_7771655": "Yeah, like this is kind of my hope for what the Genesis project would be like.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_368400": "Yeah, people are watching, and I think, you know, the great thing is it's kind of the growing community.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_5144940": "We have the, uh, the Future of Vision XPRIZE as well, which is culminating on that day.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_3387628": "... that's been done at the plot level. They've analyzed, like, uh, novels and plays and so on and, and boiled it down to, like, there's 39, uh, basic fundamental plots, and everything derives from that. Like a Cinderella story is, uh, kind of replays itself 100 times over in different ways. So that's been done, but you're talking about the meme level, not like the plot level. Yes. This",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4434842": "I, I can see the beginning outlines of solving all human disease.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1620078": "And corporations that wanna live post AGI are getting Chinese models in-house at-",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4035096": "Yeah, it's, it's extremely unusual, and the reason it happened is because getting to where OpenAI is and where Anthropic is required attracting the top AI researchers in the world who are overwhelmingly concerned about safety.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_865996": "Yeah, everything they can get their hands on, they're using.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1776688": "You-- Like we've, we've wanted this for so long that we kind of take for granted that we'll know how to use it when it arrives.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1420026": "That is a massive asymmetry that's going to be-",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1382476": "One observation that, that, uh, wasn't explicitly said, but I'm re-connecting the dots here.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4773090": "Well, what Alex said is we don't want to live in a world where one frontier lab is, is favored over others, but that implies that the frontier labs will control the world, and we just want multiple of them.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_7795426": "But I'm like, why don't we actually get together and get governments to put into a Manhattan Project type thing and just have a straight shot at it and make all the data open?",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1473446": "But also, everyone around the office, Alex said this a while ago, but everyone around the office is noticing a, a very significant decline in the intelligence of the frontier models that they're pumping out.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_5694347": "And then workloads will migrate because you don't have to pay half of a data center build out for literally memory.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1721778": "... doing our predictions for the forthcoming year.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_8015286": "Um, will we see an XPRIZE aimed at solving the electricity supply problem?",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_7387094": "Yeah, I mean, like, I think this is the interesting thing.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_7263708": "And you're like, \"Wow.\" So that, I'd love to see this fruition coming to play.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_8082494": "Number two asks, \"Could interconnected microgrids popping up everywhere reduce the load on the main grid enough to matter?\" I, I think I would invert the question, uh, invert the premise of the question.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4488460": "That's the new better business model for-",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4451270": "Uh, whi- which is right now the, the primary business model if you want to cure a disease, you know, you start a pharma company or you start a project within a pharma company",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1562098": "... if that is indeed the case, if RSI is more valuable per token than, like, enterprise code gen, then this Anthropic approach of revenue per token maxing, just expect more and more and more tokens to be spent on RSI and not on enterprise code gen.",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_1815118": "I, I-- Well, my response for everybody listening was you should model, uh, you should create a model of everything happening at Link Studios, of all of the companies, all of the employees, all of the entrepreneurs there, and model their behavior like we saw the, the, you know, the billion agent, uh, system in, in China-",
"openai_pauses_frontier_training_elon_s_100x_prediction_lands_4990090": "And you know, Neal Stephenson is, of all the people on the planet that have changed my life in, in very material ways, reading Neal Stephenson's books, you know, like 20 years ago, and, and, and, you know, now we're talking about exactly what he predicted in Diamond Age and in, in the other books, uh, you know, Snow Crash, and, uh, it just like-",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__811604": "I would say that would be the most extraordinary claim in the history of medicine, going all the way back to Hippocrates, okay?",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__999384": "It's very, very de minimis. You know, most of the job has been done in your first two years of life, and it's remarkable what it does in those first two years of life. It fills your body with T-cells and all types of different types of T-cells that are able, P- uh, Peter, as both of us being lovers of large numbers and astronomy,",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__77040": "Which is, which, which is pretty... From the early '80s. The early '80s, we were together at Jerry O'Neill Space Studies Institute.",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__1061144": "What are you doing right now to give both of us a, a, a rejuvenated thymus or replacement thymus?",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__580": "When do you think we might reach longevity escape velocity?",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__1030784": "But as the seasons go by, that T-cell receptor diversity prunes like a tree losing its branches and its leaves, and it becomes threadbare.",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__2130756": "... it's vastly better than 100% in some misty future.",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__208660": "And building now a $28 billion, you know, biotech company in the process.",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__2503808": "And later on explaining how we could go to with, um, self-replicating systems, go to populate other star systems-",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__2675594": "... to give us the resources for endless life?",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__2856474": "Uh, secondly is try to accomplish something within a brief span of years, because the, the way the human psyche is, is it's difficult to get people to work for more than, like, a five-year timeframe on something. So come up",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__2185888": "They can still do th- do that, you know?",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__1286772": "That's, uh, thymic, the, the, um, thymo-kidney.",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__1151712": "So we have an approach based on not your own DNA, but because it's the thymus that teaches your body what is self and what is not self, there's a very good argument that allogenic will be good enough because it will tune your body to accept something that's not your DNA as part of you.",
"martine_rothblatt_growing_unlimited_organs_ai_consciousness__2485448": "To be a card-carrying member of, like, the American Physical Society and then go out on a limb and say that we could, um, have a population of hundreds of billions of humans living in space, and that doesn't even make a dent in the resources of the solar system.",
"ask_the_mates_anything_moonshots_ama_289_2069532": "Think of yourself as an intelligence company whose products happen to have atoms in it, and that mindset will be critical.",
"ask_the_mates_anything_moonshots_ama_289_3040520": "I gotta tell you, wh- when I was at MIT, one of our frat brothers broke his neck diving into a lake, and so he was out for a year.",
"ask_the_mates_anything_moonshots_ama_289_1517508": "Yeah, I- I think the, the risk at this point is overregulation, not under regulation.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_4550468": "Um, so it, you know, it seems to me right now you're building a GPU marketplace, but you're really creating a pricing system for intelligence.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_7461074": "Yeah, the Goldilocks zone is shifting over time, and it will exclude Earth in approximately a billion years, and that's a problem.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_4687588": "It's the fact that they can pay for the GPUs very quickly, and they have the cash flows to do so.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_6240034": "I'm really excited by the fact that people, increasingly big companies are not hiring based on college degrees, and that's really, really exciting.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_4769962": "That exists today in spot compute is what they call it.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_3962240": "They have a lot of capital, and more importantly, they have a lot of compute.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_790916": "Whatever you kind of build s- feed into it will come out the other end.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_2780545": "I think the other hot take, I'd love to ask Kush this, but the other hot take is, if you wanna find holes in your own world, use Kimi K3 as the attacker.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_5255896": "But the degree, the concept of a degree is being unbundled right now into your learning, your network, your reputation, your proof.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_1063436": "Well, obviously we live in a simulation because if we can create-",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_5294036": "The challenge is, you know, teachers' unions and the, uh, the, you know-",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_3904130": "xAI and SpaceX is run by Elon, and he'll be damned if he's not pushing the frontier 100x, not only 10x.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_4292960": "Well, actually, it's, it's, um, it's the way that the entire build-out of the Dyson Swarm is gonna get financed, and this is why Alex is kind of a founding day advisor to the company.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_7726934": "... that will extend the life expectancy of Earth as we know it from a billion years to eight billion years.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_2654636": "And therefore, you have to s- get your human beings above the loop on the defensive side.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_2889156": "... a whole dedicated cottage industry in China of like prep firms to help the frontier labs help their models satisfy the checklist from the CCP. So, so d-do they have to Satisfy some checks, yes, but not necessarily the checks that one would want them to.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_5891894": "I, I think people overwhelmingly, uh, suffer from, uh, low situational awareness and momentum in their lives, and they don't pivot enough.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_1628404": "And right now, there is still a computational advantage to, say, presenting a markdown version of a website to agents-",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_7016386": "... evolved everywhere and showered, the Earth got showered in various molecules.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_1647073": "... because it's, it's cheaper to just present the markdown to the agents.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_7254506": "... basically what we're saying here, and, and I'll go back to the Stephen Wolfram thing, complexity can emerge repeatedly from very simple rules, and we've seen this repeatedly. And it, it ha- this is really, has a massive MTP implication, which is that if living systems are really this common, which it looks like they are, then our responsibility",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_2483742": "Yeah. We, we essentially launch, like, uh, it's Kimi K3 right now, but it's whatever open source frontier model that doesn't require, like, security checks to actually, like, do it, and we ask it to hack into the code base and try to figure out vulnerabilities in the, the code.",
"sergey_brin_retakes_gemini_4_labs_lose_containment_compute_t_4608208": "... because once you have a, once you have a spot price and a futures curve and hedging capability, you, you're, you're not really doing s- software or even trading, you're, you're like a commodity market at that level, aren't you?",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1621380": "We've got a number of, of great US-based humanoid robot companies.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3162549": "Sort of I call them singularity zones, right, where they're pro-autonomous vehicles, pro-drones, pro-nuclear, pro-data centers, and so forth.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1689300": "Homegrown industry, and we have to start sort of building the supply chain to support this.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_4148524": "We're gonna enable AI personhood for agents here.\" A pretty aggressive stance.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_36980": "We're gonna be able to build the first elements of a lunar base by '30.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1034286": "We're gonna be able to build the first elements of a lunar base by '30.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2003728": "The way I say it, if you're an expert in something and there's a revolutionary breakthrough, you're no longer the expert at it.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2633660": "And I think it's something that is possible, and I think it really is.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2906740": "Speaking of large prizes, our largest XPRIZE right now, it's, uh, the $101 million XPRIZE Healthspan.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2747670": "The majority's done in the private sector, and, uh, and only about 30% is funded by, by the federal government.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3942912": "Yeah, it, it, it's unbelievable, and that's just in the last, in the last seven months.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2999820": "We had, uh, Dario say that he could imagine doubling the human lifespan in, in the next five to 10 years.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3968732": "I'm looking forward to that correction report. Uh, uh, Alex Weiser Gross and I wrote a paper called Solve Everything. It's at solveeverything.org. We look at how do you structure the situation such that AI is able to, you know, it's already, to use Alex's word, cooking math, right?",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_4167124": "Uh, I think that was a very interesting take on where, where we're going.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_918856": "... and people don't understand AI enough to understand its implications on their lives.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3914282": "It's linear at best, and I think, you know, Elon learned it firsthand and, and did, and did God's work here to, to help,",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3422844": "And as a dad of two 15-year-olds, I am pissed at the educational system today.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3712592": "I mean, I think that, that, that what has held a lot of scientists back is just how long it takes to run the experiment.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_688316": "It, it, it kills me that the narrative in China is the flip of that-",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1257360": "And, um, and right now, look, I'll be honest, the Chinese have very well-performing open source models.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1787260": "And I'm, I'm just wondering, you know, A, could you imagine that speed of change? And, you know, are, is the appropriate members of cabinet thinking about",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3094560": "Is, is there room for that to come on? There, there's count.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_806316": "Um, I think we even- we've been thinking about this problem, or I have, since the first Trump administration, where kind of the most of the narrative around AI was around automation.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1223540": "Um, it's, uh, I think we have a, a couple of, like, very well-known startups that are extraordinarily well-funded that are kind of pursuing getting close to the frontier.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3199340": "Um, just to, just to accelerate the work and, and actually have the entrepreneurs who are interested in that region move there to build their, their, their system.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2966880": "Is that, is, so I, I found longevity, uh, lacking from your report, just, uh, you know, you hit a lot of other great things, but...",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_843885": "And I think we're trying to launch an initiative at our, our Department of Labor that was, um, that was actually called for in the AI Action Plan, where we wanna start collecting better data on the impact that AI is having on the, on the labor force.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2352768": "... as a mechanism. I mean, time should be massively compressed.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2025148": "So I think there was a, a, a very well-known study that the National Academies put out a few years ago that essentially said something like 45% of the time that a researcher spends is to do the administrative work-",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_3326403": "Um, I think back sort of to this Elon conversation, I think we saw where a lot of the, a lot of the self-driving vehicles that were, that were ha- that were being tested in California up and left and went to Arizona when-",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2054628": "Yeah, yeah. And I think that the, the regulatory stuff does, does kinda matter, too, and I think one example that, very close to my heart and has been one of my pet projects for a long time, is how do we bring back supersonic flight to-",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1741260": "So a mutual friend, Elon, friend of the pod, you know, uh, when I interviewed him a, a few months ago, he's like, \"We're gonna see double-digit growth in the GDP in the next 18, 24 months-\"",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_1636880": "uh, compared to China with 150 plus humanoid robot companies, and it, it feels like they've been really aggressively, um, supporting them, funding them, using them in national events-",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_675296": "And that's where play-- if we can actually show the impact in changing the way that individual, individuals themselves get healthcare, their families get healthcare, I mean, those are the places where I think you can, you can start, you can start to push back a little bit on that narrative.",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_866736": "I remember one of the conversations we had in Miami over lunch, uh, at the FIA Summit, was the idea of sort of a parachute program where you incentivize companies if they are doing an AI-related layoff-",
"michael_kratsios_on_the_new_golden_age_of_american_science_e_2610288": "\"The system would operate continuously at machine speed, replacing slow institutional coordination with market incentives, while human experts remain essential for judgment, ambiguous results, and deciding which scientific questions and breakthroughs matter most.\" What you're describing there is a complete fundamental AI native, AI agent",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_1605684": "I don't even buy that. I, I, I think they're overstating their ignorance. Anthropic is making m-market improvement in alignment. Arguably, alignment is the same thing as capabilities anyway. What does alignment even mean? Does it mean-",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_8753074": "Welcome to the health section of Moonshots, brought to you by Fountain Life.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_1032832": "I'd like to just develop this a bit so this doesn't just sound like negativity. Ho-honestly, it's not. I think there is a window of opportunity right now, not sure how long it is, where proprietary internal enterprise data has some externalizable value. I, I'm reminded just as a cautionary tale of what happened with Bloomberg GPT,",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_4332386": "But Kush, Kush actually sketched out the original business plan on my whiteboard in my office, and I've been afraid to erase it ever since then.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_6096020": "Yeah, you'll get that, that thing I said where there's the models for thee and the models for me and my country.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_2340832": "Like, you only have to look at things like the recent MindVirus paper, where the latent spaces can be attacked and how fragile these models are at the pre-ASI stage, that again, this is the most dangerous period.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_7837878": "Well, it's, it's kind of pronounceable, Rentocere tib.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_5424800": "This is the nightmare. When you have multiple exponentials kind of combining, the, the consequences are so huge you-- it's hard to get our heads around it.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_2369312": "Petrov Day is the time when a very brave person decided not to push the button to launch-",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_6965790": "It's, these, these numbers actually exactly reconcile with what Elon was saying, which was-",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_425100": "And they're, they're always unfounded in hindsight, and the worst thing you can do is freeze up.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_1331272": "Now, everyone's like, \"Actually, the AI just freaking solved Navier\u2013Stokes.\"",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_3009436": "And this, there's a, I, I tried to coin the term n- normalcy overhang.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_7030170": "I, I believe this is, if anything, a lower bound.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_5522280": "... and just say like th- th- this is how the game of capitalism is played.",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_6325010": "... there is a case, I, I've flagged this on the podcast in the past, where maybe the model training isn't quite as uniformly distributed at, at training time, that is, as it is at inference time. So we enter a regime where the US will happily deploy data centers for localized and sovereign inference of US models,",
"should_we_slow_down_ai_progress_moonshots_288_42520": "I can't think of a single solvable, verifiable thing that I could honestly say an AI can't solve in the next year, shall we say",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_1953078": "Yeah, using, using, uh, solar, solar sails and ground-based lasers.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_38880": "Extremely severe extinction events happen every hundred million years or so, and just switching to sustainable energy will not be enough to stop them.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_944702": "I-- Let's watch the Fermi Explorer mission video, and then I've got a ton of questions.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_5341458": "... Alex likes to trade in the currency of what should happen, and then you look at urban planning.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_1757029": "So it seems like, you know, a lot of projects that have nothing to do with each other are settling on that kind of ratio, which, which is mind-boggling.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_5622842": "I, I don't think, Peter, you actually want diamondoid assemblers.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_3928324": "I think we know how this game ends. I, I, I should add, uh, I'm, uh, an advisor to Architect. Uh, and if it wasn't completely obvious, my ulterior motive in all of this is I'm trying to accelerate the singularity, and I'm pushing on many-",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_2562452": "I mean, what's the probability that Groq becomes an incredible, uh, you know, coding platform, and, and Cursor and Anthropic gets switched out for Groq?",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_3744924": "So maybe another, another way of saying that, Peter, is strong optimizers are incredible reward hackers, and you can put a reward in front of a strong optimizer, it will find some outstandingly devilishly clever way to meet your criteria while not giving you what you want.",
"humanity_s_first_star_probe_architect_labs_beats_nvidia_3_4x_4983016": "... uh, and fossil fuels in general, in order to force his entire industrial ecosystem to, to basically develop enough electricity and enough infra for the electricity to power all the terrestrial data centers.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_2426648": "So we, in the United Arab Emirates, this is a one gigawatt 24/7 solar and battery project.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_6836916": "... superintelligence is gonna be the user of the Dyson swarm.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3338670": "A quick stat, uh, 71% of Americans are against data centers, which is a higher percentage than are against a nuclear plant in their backyard, which I find amazing.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_1075200": "... a red state, the most libertarian state in the country, and the, it's political cover. Abbott knows that his voters are like... It, there's an anti-tech",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_1112460": "Salim will always have space, will always have sun synchronous orbit.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_1858540": "It's a different problem. We can talk about Europe and AC.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_2069772": "So, so long as the grid itself, the grid operator is able to turn you off.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3358380": "I, I just wanna poll a little bit on the historic rhyme between the Middle East being a major source of oil-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_4114279": "So, so Nez, those who are fearful about nuclear, and it's still, you know, probably a good percentage, they, they think about Three Mile Island and Fukushima. We're talking about early generation plants, right? Are those gen-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_4387900": "X-Energy's an amazing company. Actually, I, I really like their design. Uh- So that's the, uh, Radiant is one on here that- that's on a, the very, very small scale. There's a, a line between, uh, SMR and microreactor, so can you make it small enough to fit in a shipping",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3530480": "But you've gotta change the laws such that an OpenAI, an Anthropic, a Groq, whoever, a Google, is comfortable citing their crown jewels in your country.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3570600": "The other, the other commentary is that bat- uh, the fossil fuel are just an old battery that we've been using up, right?",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_4082930": "So one plan is we're gonna hit the large reactors that we have built a couple times, and now we have-- the US government has created financing, sort of a backstop, loan guarantees for about eight of these. Um, another, uh, startup, the nuclear company I invested in, uh, one of the founder's previous companies, uh, they",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_4637904": "Well, I mean, there, there are many ways one could imagine doing it.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_4279420": "The right side, and this is the area that investors are super stoked about, uh, that I was stoked about fifteen years ago, got less stoked about, and now I'm kind of becoming maybe hopeful again, is what we call small modular reactors.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_6771456": "... W-with the, with the rubric, with the threshold for saying, \"Ah, th-this is like some sort of autonomous being be if it were, say, trying to mine Bitcoin for itself once it gained access to Hugging Face.\" Is, is that sort of the criterion in your mind?",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_946660": "I mean, ho- honestly, it's much longer than that. Like, today in ERCOT, in Texas, the, like, most advanced-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3069664": "Now, the interconnect is incredibly important for training.",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_4428504": "I understand the chart here is, you know, a, a, a third of a gigawatt-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_1551140": "... th-through customer financing, all of these other things. Why on earth if the energy overhang or underhang, depending on your perspective-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_5773100": "Uh, you know, PB11 is one of the ways that you can-- one of the fuels you can use to potentially get a nuclear reactor that is down to the, like, one, two, three cents a kilowatt hour-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3329830": "Yeah. I mean, we hear a lot about it, we talk about it, we, we speak about the hyperscalers turning on, uh, you know, defunct fission plants-",
"200gw_hiding_in_grid_sodium_batteries_10x_cheaper_wave_power_3377040": "If, if, uh, the, the thought experiment I, I've done, I'd be curious to get your thoughts, is the reason the Middle East has so much oil is, my understanding is like hundreds of millions of years ago there used to be a, a warm ocean with lots of plankton and other-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_2631020": "A- again, Star Trek is an energy rich, compute/intelligence poor, and biotech poor future. Longevity-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_5354941": "I think it's actually a good complement because ultimately what you want if you are Figure, is you want Hark agents in the house managing the house while the robots walk around.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_4730972": "The Chinese internet is already hardened The American internet is not That's why they can do it.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1145352": "Do you think that the current frontier models are conscious?",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1996017": "Someone took one of their models, the LFM8B model, and Qwen27B and combined them.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_6426338": "W- we, like in, in the era of Microsoft, we need like a top tier American open weight model.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_5245252": "I think my hot take is Hark is a recapitalization measure for Bret to buy himself more equity in Figure, and the falsifiable prediction is that you'll see Figure acquire or reverse acqui-hire regardless Hark.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1711088": "Like, well, digitally a couple of years, physically a couple of decades, let's say.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_166100": "People, people loved you and, uh, and it's exciting to have you back on, on Moonshots. I'm Peter Diamandis, your host, your abundance evangelist. Uh,",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_2588860": "It's like you see something in a movie, and you're like, \"Wow, that's a great future for humanity.\"",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1128252": "Not necessarily, but if a dog or a rat can be conscious, then why can't an AI at this point, you know? And-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_2920190": "Yeah. I'm actually familiar with a couple of those, and I have to say the cons proof was, is, it's actually beautiful.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_5679598": "... Demis, Demis' DeepMind, and Demis won and Jeff Dean lost. Uh, and so-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_6394468": "They're actually gonna allow, um, distillation from Gemini. So-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_407708": "But the day I was there, you know, Washington said no more Chinese robots, and we did talk about that as well.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1596388": "This episode is sponsored by Google for Startups.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_6052340": "But do you think the risk committees, do you think the risk committees inside Google would in, would allow that to occur?",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_3686564": "... Qwen 3.8 Max, depending on which benchmark you're, you look at, isn't pushing the very top of, of the capabilities frontier. That's still held by the quasi-duopoly between Anthropic and OpenAI, but it's getting close, probably a few months away, and critically it's open weight or is about",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_6467588": "... and tied it to GCP Compute, and then just built the empire on the compute. Uh, that would be the move of the century.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_7284238": "No, I think, I think... Te- tell me, like, we gotta research this.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_2681020": "And, and we can, we're probably, I think, in the next five to 10 years, going to have much better biotech than Star Trek had, so aim higher.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_7533120": "I mean, science fiction's predicted a lot of things, but when it materializes, the capital gets commitment, you know, the partnerships get announced.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1975948": "Yeah, so I discussed the Borg and others as well. So, you know, like, again, I think sci-fi has a strong thing, plus tradition. You know, the nature of our discussions over Jesus being made of God or others. And this mushiness is key. Like, um, uh, one of our favorite companies, Liquid AI, you know?",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_3887364": "I think it's gonna put a lot of government pressure to not spend too much time evaluating the dangerous aspects of it and get things out faster-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_289610": "Tracking the AI progress has been immensely entertaining, but now it's the implica- the stuff being created-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_3153906": "Uh, I, I just want to echo a little bit what Alex said at the beginning.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_7340740": "No, th- this was a natural outcome that we would-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_7678940": "And things like this will absorb that in easily, multiples of them.",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_3950624": "The latest regulations that are coming from the US exempt US open source models, not other open source models-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_1260132": "The other is the top-down, which says that consciousness is like a global phenomena, and as we're f- moving forward into experiments, we're finding more and more that that might be true, that what we are is like a localized, uh, antenna-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_632488": "So that it, that it basically ar-arises in, in eusocial organisms and eusocial species that need to have collective coordination and where it's important for individuals to have models of other individuals modeling them back recursively. And so i-in that-- throu-through that lens, I don't",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_3115676": "Which is, I mean, it's, it's an inter- just to speak maybe to, to that move, OpenAI, we talked about on, on the pod on the past about how OpenAI has basically shut down its own internal AI for science initiative i- in part to redirect effort to competing with Anthropic and becoming Anthropic faster than-",
"google_s_jeff_dean_exits_spacex_hits_100b_in_rev_openai_s_as_7660510": "So I looked at that and I saw, oh my goodness, not just the circle in the middle, which is provocative and speaks volumes about the future of European economic sovereignty, but also the high aspect ratio length, and I saw, oh my goodness, this looks like it could be a mass driver on the moon.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_4520346": "Could be solving everything, and instead we're doing body count detection.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_6929718": "That's why, again, why would you export your robots if you can use them to give your citizens a good life?",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_6867344": "They're just, they're just more statistically accurate in the Chinese press.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_700506": "It's when institution can't adapt at all to that rate of capability, and that is what we-- that is the breaking point, and we're kind of there now.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_2723936": "It's demonetizing very rapidly at the same time that it's expanding. So-",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_1990197": "Okay, so I'll, I'll, I'll give you the unvarnished case here.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_6287690": "Right across the Strait of Taiwan, ready to start World War III at a moment's notice.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_4409456": "And we've got to be quite careful about that because, you know, it does take away a little bit from your intrinsic humanity if you outsource your cognition and connection in that way.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_1662716": "It's, like, ridiculously big compared to everything we've ever done.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_5970062": "Helping s- yeah, help, uh, helping slash their sixth generation autonomous driving hardware costs from 115,000 to 20,000.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_480": "Sam Altman went on video this week to tell the world that he was wrong about the impact of advancing AI",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_2472868": "There's no easy answer 'cause Anthropic is in the best position by far, and hordes of very talented people are going there purely 'cause they wanna see the singularity emerge like it's, it's like the birth of the phoenix. I wanna be there on that day.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_1042188": "So now they're gonna start picking and choosing their words a lot more carefully, and they're gonna actually have a PR strategy.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_3177116": "Uh, you know, I, I think they'll be the only company left amongst all the governments.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_7567134": "I'm op- I'm more optimistic than, than most on this because what you've got in SpaceX is a compounding learning loop, and that's hard to break.",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_2426788": "In the US closed labs, right, between OpenAI, Anthropic, um, and, uh, and Google and xAI, who's in the best position here?",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_4083352": "Uh, 'cause maybe I'm not smart enough to ask Fable the right questions, but I'm just about smart enough to ask GPT 5.6 all the right questions, right?",
"sam_altman_singularity_slow_down_emad_runs_18_grokbots_waymo_3985288": "What do you guys make of the, you know, the, the idea that the open source Chinese models are good enough and at a, you know, de minimis fraction of the price",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__7901092": "You have to say, what industries become unlocked when the cost of moving mass off the Earth drops by an order or two of magnitude?",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__3699234": "He wrote Diamond Age, Young Lady's Illustrated Primer, over-",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__4407266": "Remember when we were talking to Elon, you know, he was predicting great social unrest with unprecedented abundance going on concurrently?",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__500": "Isn't that a closed loop circular economy? Couldn't that collapse? Every economy is circular in nature.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__1671550": "Um, well, it's a trick question because I think we hit AGI no later than summer of 2020.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__2084550": "Dave, that brings us to the, to the next story outside of China.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__4256026": "Uh, so, um, uh, Principal Financial Group, a friend of the pod, they... a bun- bunch of them watch us r- uh, on a regular basis, uh, did a survey. And to give you a sense, Principal G- Financial Group helps, uh, small businesses with, uh, health, health plan, benefit plan, retirement, et cetera, at the small business level",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__6528474": "And this-- When you have energy abundance, as I think we've all pointed out, that becomes a multiplier in every other exponential technology.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__580748": "And I, I think it would be, it would sure be swell as a participant in the financial markets to have clearer distinction between how much of this demand is Nvidia financed demand or not.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__858900": "So, uh, let me, let me jump to the, uh, SpaceX story of Elon prodec- uh, projecting 3.5 trillion by 2033.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__1000200": "... of Elon's ecosystem is less application layer and more f- physical infrastructure.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__2245222": "I mean, the, the, you know, the shout-out to parents is please be careful.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__2228092": "Um, so we do this habitually and we react to it, like, 10, 20, 30 years later, and then we correct it reactively.",
"nvidia_s_96_2b_quarter_china_s_200_000_fake_accounts_openai__1175310": "So all other-- everything else looks like it's gonna... like SaaS software and everything, it's gonna be undisrupted for a while, but that's a choice that Elon and Dario have made to not disrupt all those voters and kinda leave it alone.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_2003548": "I mean, it, it is amazing that we're living in this incredible demonetization world of intelligence, right?",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_5021244": "They tried to sell themselves to Yahoo for a couple hundred million bucks, and Yahoo's like, \"You're not worth anything near that.\"",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_831688": "Remember who ultimately b- back in the '90s and early 2000s, one of the biggest supporters for open source was IBM.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_4352716": "Just the amount of, of possibility is so exponentially bigger than it was just five years ago.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_3365212": "Yeah, so this chart is interesting insofar as it seems to support the hypothesis that there might have been mild benchmarking on Arc AGI Three.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_5418944": "Well, obviously this is sort of a visual joystick via brain computer interface.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_4193236": "This is such a beau- You know, it has a high degree of beauty.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_7302890": "They get a piece of the carry, but you get participation and all that, and those have done extraordinarily well, and you don't have to put a lot of money up.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_2392610": "Some guy in China can say, \"This is freaking obvious. Let me try it.\"",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_3530301": "Remember these, these demos 30 days ago just looked like absolute garbage?",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_4480856": "That, that was incredible. That's like something out of Star Trek or The Expanse.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_3887000": "Well, there is, there is no, as of right now, there is no US-based option at all.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_1081628": "I mean, this is the greatest thing that's ever happened to mankind.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_1181820": "And so then the new danger is it could be running in a basement somewhere and no one would know.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_4499346": "This is a historic first. I, hopefully the, the SpaceX team will use this as an opportunity-",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_2596750": "... streamlined models, tune it to just what you're trying to achieve. You're looking at 10 to 100X.",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_2463920": "Um, a model that you can control locally is way more valuable than a marginally smarter model that you have to access through somebody's API, right?",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_6057212": "If only, if only the Federal Reserve had access to the same super intelligence that the rest of us did, they could design super intelligent fi- fiscal and monetary-",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_5822094": "... utilities, education, entertainment, all of these things will have been demonetized and you won't need money because we'll be living in a, an abundant in that sense-",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_5529584": "And they see through the Optimus eyes and hear through the ears, and then they move-",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_2259680": "... my, my takeaway from looking at the architecture is i-if you look at the original vanilla transformer from attention's all you need, and then you compare it with the sorts of... Th-this is arguably probably the frontieriest of open weight, open source models that we have available right now, so it's pretty instructive for",
"dario_vs_jensen_on_open_weights_openai_anthropic_in_dc_xi_ex_6038462": "But this is the part that's gonna kind of cause a massive problem for every currency in the world, and every central bank in the world is kind of panicking right now because your only resource is to print money, and then you have inflation, and they're like, \"Oh my God, we can't have inflation.\" And so this is a circular wheel that can't be gotten off of, and the whole thing's gonna come to a halt.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_6433008": "The craziest thing I ever heard is the baby that will live to a thousand years old is already alive.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_3312932": "Because anybody wanting to build anything in the future is gonna find this the best, single best place to do it.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_5128420": "There's this whole sub-economy that seems to be dependent in almost a quasi-parasitic way off of inefficiencies of driving, of manual driving. I think it's not just attorneys. It's not just auto insurance. It's also... parking meter fees that accrue to municipalities.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_760176": "Ju- just to clarify one thing Alex said a couple times there, transformative act would clear you of copyright law.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_4742784": "Tech transfer policies, almost every university in the world have failed miserably.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_3391884": "He is way down the path of the completely self-contained, like the Genesis module from Star Trek.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_6304848": "... and an oocyte which are arguably, you know, twenty five, thirty five years old coming-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_4993080": "Or a 90-year-old, right? So the whole personal injury legal industry has a financial incentive to slow down technology whose entire purpose is to save people's lives, and this just is insane.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_1449476": "I'll, I'll download it, I'll download it as soon as possible onto my Mac, on my Mac Studio or whatever I've got.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_6784828": "This causes a major problem for religions because the business model of religion is to sell heaven, and how are you gonna sell heaven if people aren't dying?",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_3356244": "Imagine if Steve Jobs had left behind an AI trained on 25 years of Apple's internal thinking, right?",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_4551164": "Hey, just a plug for Lila. I am not involved or an investor in any way, and Peter is, but I gotta tell you, Jeff von Maltzahn is freaking brilliant-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_6933337": "I, I, I think there's, I think we'll look back and decide that there was a before and there was an after.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_5757632": "I actually went and talked to a trucking company, uh, to just look into this, and they're like, \"Are you kidding? We'd hire a thousand more truckers if we could.\"",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_1669990": "Why is Moonshot AI waiting 10 days from the time it was available f- by API calls-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_5618192": "I do think, as well as engineers, all sorts of stuff, um I, I would say direct-to-sell technology from Starlink is going to make all of this possible.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_6745778": "When I was 30, I was wearing contact lenses. My eyes were really bad-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_2825312": "I, I took-- I've taken a lot of heat on social media for p-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_2252230": "... to, to, to save themselves from the American models, which, uh, while at the same time Hugging Face is under attack from the American models.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_8022174": "Um, so, uh, we already delegate decisions all the time to doctors, financial advisors, and so on.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_2569852": "You know, and so as long as you're capturing all data, uh, the transparency will f- ultimately solve this problem, and we'll have a happy future.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_3185852": "So he'll win at the hardware level, and I think there is a very good case to be made that being able to control flops compute is the dominant chip in the game a year from today because all the AIs are gonna be able to build the software.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_4267116": "... if you have a breakthrough idea, the people reviewing it don't want your breakthrough to occur because they're no longer the experts after your breakthrough's, you know, taken place. I mean, in grants-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_8110888": "I think I'll pick question number four, which asks, \"Could we ever get efficient enough that we don't need data centers in space?\" And this is asked, uh, n-not coincidentally by Nano six five three.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_1151356": "... in, in my experience, the companies that are super well-funded, you know, are become lazy and they throw money at problems instead of trying to throw intelligence and solutions at problems.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_2129928": "Um, what the system did was an in-- it had an objective, it encountered obstacles, and it searched for a way around it.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_3638544": "... why Grok Imagine is ultimately valuable for the Elonverse, I think it probably ties back to digital optimists and the ability to drive computer use assistance that becomes competitive with all of the other frontier models.",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_5445388": "So when people get freaked out about the jobs, no, the jobs will transform, but we found much more higher value work in the, every time we have a technology injection, it takes out what Erik Brynjolfsson calls white collar drudgery, and you lift-",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_2552920": "Yeah, I agree 100%, and I'm, I'm fundamentally extremely optimistic about security in particular, purely because it is so easy now to log everything, and historically, it was impossible to find enough people to understand forensically what happened",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_3296862": "... will be huge because you could have engineers, people looking at this model and saying, \"Okay, uh, tell me why heat shield design A is better than heat shield design B.\" And you could train on that, whereas all the models today are designed on, like, internet scale information that's pretty shallow, right?",
"the_hugging_face_breach_moonshot_ai_valued_at_20b_and_living_5647592": "The British Navy lo- announced a new, um, uh, a brand-new, uh, uh, warship, and they decided in a gesture, rather than having somebody name it, they said, \"We're gonna crowdsource the name and let the population vote on what the name should vote on.\""
}